Generic•2026
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
Take on KalshiBefore Jan 20, 202960%
Before 202731%
Before May 20267.000000000000001%
Before March 20260%
Before February 20260%
(+1 other markets hidden)Expectations
6 Markets
Before Jan 20, 2029
158.9k
60.00%
58.00¢
Before 2027
215.2k
31.00%
28.00¢
Before May 2026
8.1k
7.00%
4.00¢
Before March 2026
459.6k
0.00%
50.00¢
Before Jan 19, 2026
117.7k
0.00%
50.00¢
Before February 2026
413.0k
0.00%
50.00¢
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